By:Abdullahi Inuwa Opinion
Kaduna politics is entering a season of quiet tension and loud calculations. In a blunt UPDATE posted on his X account, Honourable Nuhu Sada @NuhuSada0 sketches a future that could redraw the state’s political map before the 2027 general election. His message is clear: power is shifting, loyalties are thinning, and incumbency may not be enough. Here are the five scenarios he says Kaduna should brace for.
1) Speaker’s Gavel or Senate Ticket?
Sada predicts a tough road ahead for Abbas Tajudeen to retain the Speakership for a second term. The alternative path? A strategic leap to the Senate seat in Kaduna North (Zone One) in 2027—an ambition that could trigger a reshuffle at the top of the National Assembly hierarchy.
2) El-Rufai’s Shadow, Uba Sani’s Storm
No matter the political engineering or last-minute alliances from Nasir El-Rufai, Sada foresees a grim outcome: Uba Sani may struggle to secure re-election. The verdict, he implies, may be delivered by voters fatigued by unmet expectations.
3) Southern Kaduna: The Swing That Won’t Swing
Despite hopes within the ruling camp, Sada argues Southern Kaduna may not line up behind Uba Sani in 2027. In a state where margins matter, this bloc’s hesitation—or outright rejection—could prove decisive.
4) Senate Dreams, Gubernatorial Roadblocks
Two familiar faces—Shehu Sani and Yusuf Zailani—are eyeing Senate seats. Sada’s twist? Their paths could be complicated by a new power center, with Aminu Zaria, if he emerges as governor, expected to block their ambitions and recalibrate the field.
5) The Big Picture: Opposition Advantage
Sada’s bottom line is the boldest: whoever the opposition fields stands a strong chance of winning Kaduna’s governorship in 2027. Fragmentation within the ruling structure, regional discontent, and ambitious realignments could converge into a single outcome—change.
Final Word
This isn’t prophecy; it’s political arithmetic. And if Nuhu Sada’s numbers add up, Kaduna is heading for one of its most unpredictable contests yet. As 2027 approaches, the state may discover that the loudest campaign isn’t about promises—but about who the people are ready to move on from.
